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4,364

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5

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Republic of Ireland vs. Israel
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Republic of Ireland vs. Israel?

Volume:
$2,917,138

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$205,832
N/A
N/A
$151,997
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Republic of Ireland vs. Israel)

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
70%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$16,096
$16,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ISR

View
1%
26%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$6,476
$23,250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$212,230
N/A
N/A
$131,359
Settled
No
polymarket

Israel

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

IRE

View
1%
45%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$6,519
$140,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ireland

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,470,982
N/A
N/A
$768,437
Settled
No
polymarket

Republic of Ireland

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$679,260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the Republic of Ireland versus Israel soccer match. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official UEFA statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and a consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 4, 2026, as the result will determine the market’s outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic based on official match results within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent fallback procedures for data availability.Primary resolution logic: Official UEFA statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Official match statistics from UEFA are the primary source for resolution.
  • If UEFA data is unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data will be used; if Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • A canceled match resolves to 'No' for win/loss markets and 'Yes' for the draw market.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the scheduled match time if official data is delayed, utilizing the fallback sources as needed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Republic of Ireland and Israel.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Ireland vs Israel UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Ireland wins for the Ireland market, Israel wins for the Israel market, or if the match ends in a tie for the Tie market. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the UEFA or governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Republic of Ireland and Israel.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Ireland vs. Israel match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a volume of $2,917,138 and 24-hour volume of $2,591,895. This allows for a consensus view of expectations around the match's result, combining insights from different prediction markets. The dashboard provides a single place to monitor how traders are pricing the likelihood of each possible outcome in this contest, offering a unique perspective beyond traditional sportsbooks. This is a dynamic view, reflecting real-time trading activity on both platforms.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individual bettors. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when there's significant public information available. However, sportsbook odds benefit from established risk management and liquidity. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event occurring. It's often useful to compare both to form a well-rounded view.