TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:17 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Rennes (REN) and Auxerre (AUX), scheduled for 2026-10-11 15:15 UTC. - REN: If Rennes wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - AUX: If Auxerre wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both REN and AUX options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/
This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Rennes (REN) and Auxerre (AUX), scheduled for 2026-10-11 15:15 UTC. - REN: If Rennes wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - AUX: If Auxerre wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both REN and AUX options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, which influences their odds, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Opinion and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information and methodologies.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Rennes vs Auxerre match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could affect the outcome.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Rennes or Auxerre could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment or analysis from sports commentators could drive price movements. Keep an eye on these factors as they emerge, as they all have the potential to alter the perceived probabilities and move the market.