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Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan: Round of Victory
kalshi

What is the result of Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan?

Volume:
$191,847

Tom Nolan to win in Round 3

 - Kalshi

Tom Nolan to win in Round 3 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 10:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tom Nolan to win in Round 3

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,364
N/A
N/A
$14,092
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Renato Moicano to win in Round 2

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,480
N/A
N/A
$37,648
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom Nolan to win in Round 2

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,622
N/A
N/A
$25,886
Settled
No
kalshi

Renato Moicano to win in Round 3

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,093
N/A
N/A
$23,321
Settled
No
kalshi

Renato Moicano to win in Round 1

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,130
N/A
N/A
$19,441
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom Nolan to win in Round 1

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,037
N/A
N/A
$17,973
Settled
No
kalshi

Renato Moicano to win in Round 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,729
N/A
N/A
$15,664
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom Nolan to win in Round 4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,819
N/A
N/A
$10,623
Settled
No
kalshi

Renato Moicano to win in Round 5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,987
N/A
N/A
$7,755
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom Nolan to win in Round 5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,259
N/A
N/A
$3,064
Settled
No
kalshi

Decision / Draw / No Contest

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,326
N/A
N/A
$1,211
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event centers around predicting whether Renato Moicano or Tom Nolan will secure a victory via knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification within a specific round of their scheduled UFC Fight Night bout. Alternatively, it may resolve based on whether the fight concludes by decision, draw, or no contest across all rounds.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the specific round in which either Renato Moicano or Tom Nolan achieves a victory via KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification during their UFC Fight Night bout scheduled for October 31, 2026. If either fighter wins using one of these methods in the designated round, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. A victory by decision, draw, or no contest—including technical decisions—resolves the 'Decision / Draw / No Contest' market to Yes and does not count toward any round-specific outcomes. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Moicano vs. Nolan fight tracks the current odds for each possible outcome – specifically, which round Tom Nolan might win if he is victorious, or if Renato Moicano wins. You can view the price history to see how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour volume, currently at $169,807, indicates how much trading activity there has been recently. The total volume for this market is $190,002. This provides a snapshot of where traders currently stand on the likely winner and the timing of that win.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy between this market and sportsbook odds, it could suggest that the crowd believes there’s value in a particular outcome that sportsbooks haven’t fully priced in, or vice versa. It’s a useful comparison for informed bettors.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan fight as determined by the UFC. Specifically, the market will determine which round Tom Nolan wins if he is the victor, or if Renato Moicano wins, the market will resolve in his favor. The official fight result will be the determining factor, and the platform will verify this information against established sports news sources.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in sportsbooks could also cause movement, as traders may attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Furthermore, as the fight draws closer, any analysis from MMA experts or changes in public opinion could impact the odds. The market will react to any new information that alters the perceived probabilities of each outcome.