TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for an upcoming soccer match between Remo and Gremio. It evaluates different scenarios where either team wins by a specific goal differential, reflecting the competitive balance and potential score variations in the match.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios for the Remo vs Gremio Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 7, 2026. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. The first scenario resolves positively if Remo secures a victory by more than a two-goal margin. The second scenario triggers a positive resolution if Remo wins by more than a one-goal margin. Conversely, the third scenario resolves positively if Gremio achieves a victory by more than a one-goal margin. Finally, the fourth scenario resolves positively if Gremio wins by more than a two-goal margin. Each rule operates independently, and the secondary disclaimer clarifies that the platform hosting these markets holds no official affiliation with the governing league or associated entities, emphasizing that all trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, whereas this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. It’s common to see the market adjust as new information becomes available, potentially leading to convergence or divergence with sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders set the odds by buying and selling contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the spread, and the current price reflects the collective belief of all participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market is constantly adjusting to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Remo vs Gremio match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The platform will verify the result against authoritative sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Remo or Gremio would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also move the market. Furthermore, public perception shifts based on expert analysis or media coverage could drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in the contract prices. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential market movements.