TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves the same soccer match but centers on the margin of victory. The result hinges on whether Remo or Bragantino wins by a sufficient number of goals, considering different thresholds for each team.
The event resolves based on the goal differential in the Remo vs Bragantino Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Markets resolve to 'Yes' if Remo wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Bragantino wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The match must be the professional game originally scheduled for the specified date. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi. This can lead to price discovery and potentially more accurate probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks alone. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential spread in the Remo vs Bragantino match. Higher volume generally suggests greater conviction.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Remo vs Bragantino match as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at the time of purchase. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the final result will be determined and verified.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Remo or Bragantino would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or referee assignment, could also lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to both teams is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.