TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.4b
24H VOL:
$269,170,742
24H TRANSACTIONS:
951,878,243
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,149,595,702
830,732
Markets across
15,242
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
970
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
"Reminders of Him" Rotten Tomatoes score? Odds & Prediction Markets
Closed: Mar 16, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event group tracks the critical reception of the 2026 film 'Reminders of Him' as measured by the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score. Multiple prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi offer binary bets on whether the film will achieve various critical score thresholds, with resolution occurring on March 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET based on the official Rotten Tomatoes 'All Critics' Tomatometer percentage.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Polymarket uses inclusive threshold logic (>=) while Kalshi uses exclusive threshold logic (>). This creates a one-point resolution divergence at exact threshold boundaries.Hero tip: If the Tomatometer score equals any threshold value (e.g., 50, 60, 75), Polymarket will resolve YES but Kalshi will resolve NO for that same threshold. Cross-platform arbitrage or hedging strategies must account for this asymmetry. Exact-score outcomes are rare but material.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Six binary markets using inclusive threshold logic. Resolves YES if final Tomatometer score is 'at least equal to' the specified threshold (40, 45, 50, 55, 60). Fallback resolution to NO if no data available by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Key Quote: 'at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on March 16, 2026'.
- Kalshi: Fourteen binary markets using exclusive threshold logic. Resolves YES if final Tomatometer score is 'above' the specified threshold (15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, 55, 60, 65, 70, 75, 90). No explicit fallback stated. Key Quote: 'If Reminders of Him has a Tomatometer score of above [threshold] on Mar 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes'.
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