TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Germany's third tier league. It focuses solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends entirely on which team secures a victory within that timeframe, or if the game concludes in a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Regensburg vs Wiesbaden professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, considering only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A victory for either Regensburg or Wiesbaden within this period resolves the respective market to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The markets are strictly limited to the outcome within regular time and do not account for extra time or penalty shootout results.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of events than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison, and significant discrepancies between the two may indicate opportunities for informed traders. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Regensburg vs Wiesbaden match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner and fulfill the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role, as could broader news about the teams’ performance in other recent games. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the Regensburg vs Wiesbaden match.