TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Germany's third-tier league. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end evenly. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extended play.
The event resolves based on the result of the Regensburg vs Havelse professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Regensburg wins, its market resolves to Yes. If Havelse wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers the outcome after regular time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. Comparing the two can be valuable for identifying potential value bets or gaining a more comprehensive understanding of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Regensburg vs Havelse match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Regensburg vs Havelse match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the teams' performance can influence trading activity. Even significant betting patterns from large traders on Kalshi could create short-term price fluctuations, as the market reacts to new information and adjusts its probability assessments.