TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Red Wings vs. Panthers
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 15 at 7:00PM ET: If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the Panthers win, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on spread/margin outcomes (which team wins by how much), while Polymarket settles on totals (combined goals) and moneyline (which team wins). The platforms use fundamentally different resolution dimensions for the same game.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on margin of victory (e.g., Detroit wins by 2+). If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on total goals scored or which team wins outright. A single game outcome can resolve differently across platforms: for example, a 3-2 Red Wings win resolves YES on Kalshi's 'Red Wings (-1.5)' but does NOT resolve YES on Kalshi's 'Detroit wins by over 1.5' framing—instead it resolves on Polymarket's moneyline and totals. Ensure your position aligns with the resolution dimension you intend to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers only spread/margin markets. All four markets resolve based on the margin of victory (goal differential) between Detroit and Florida: 'If Florida wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Detroit wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.' No moneyline or totals markets are present.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers moneyline (Red Wings vs. Panthers), multiple totals (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5), and spread markets (Red Wings -1.5, Panthers -1.5 through -5.5). Resolution is based on combined goals for totals ('combine to score 5 or more goals') and margin of victory for spreads ('Red Wings win the game by 2 or more goals').
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