TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Red Wings vs. Lightning
⌛Ending Soon
predict
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Red Wings vs Lightning?

Total volume:
$2,789
Volume 24h:
$2,611
1,668%
Liquidity:
$108,623
68%
Open interest:
$1,068
532%

Tampa Bay

 - Kalshi

Tampa Bay - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:01h:02m

Tampa Bay wins

72%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 72¢ buys you 139 shares | Odds: 72% Total Payout: $139 | Net Profit: $39 Multiplier: 1.39x | ROI: 39% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tampa Bay

Trade
72%
1%
Yes 72¢No 30¢
2¢
N/A
$923
585%
N/A
$907
1d 1h 2m
Active
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
51%
Yes 52¢No 51¢
3¢
$7,878
$650
N/A
N/A
N/A
22h 2m
Active
predict

Spread -1.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
$3,520
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 1h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
50.5%
Yes 52¢No 51¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Detroit

Trade
31%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
1¢
N/A
$166
336%
N/A
$161
1d 1h 2m
Active
predict

Red Wings vs. Lightning

Trade
30%
Yes 31¢No 72¢
3¢
$16,800
$14
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 1h 2m
Active
polymarket

Red Wings vs. Lightning

Trade
30%
1%
Yes 30¢No 71¢
1¢
$20,444
$1,021
20,115%
N/A
N/A
22h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
29.5%
Yes 30.5¢No 71.5¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5

Trade
26%
1%
Yes 28¢No 76¢
4¢
$8,151
$15
0%
N/A
N/A
22h 2m
Active
predict

Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 1h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
26%
Yes 28¢No 76¢
Avg: 6¢Max: 8¢
polymarket

Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5

Trade
79%
1%
Yes 80¢No 23¢
3¢
$6,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
22h 2m
Active
predict

Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 1h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5

Trade
58%
1%
Yes 60¢No 44¢
4¢
$7,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
22h 2m
Active
predict

Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 1h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 5.5¢Max: 7¢
polymarket

Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5

Trade
46%
1%
Yes 48¢No 56¢
4¢
$10,439
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
22h 2m
Active
predict

Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 1h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 5.5¢Max: 7¢
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
$605
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
22h 2m
Active
predict

Spread -3.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 1h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 6.5¢Max: 9¢
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
$4,879
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
22h 2m
Active
predict

Spread -2.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 1h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

Spread -1.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
$2,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
22h 2m
Active
predict

Spread -1.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 1h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

Spread -3.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
90¢
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
22h 2m
Active
predict

Spread -3.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 1h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 90¢Max: 90¢
polymarket

Spread -2.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
$2,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
22h 2m
Active
predict

Spread -2.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 1h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

O/U 2.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
2.9¢
$2,628
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
22h 2m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 2.9¢Max: 2.9¢
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a National Hockey League (NHL) game between the Detroit Red Wings and the Tampa Bay Lightning on November 3rd. Markets exist on which team will win and on the total number of goals scored in the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a single 'Yes' resolution for either team winning, while Polymarket has separate outcomes for each team.Hero tip: The core resolution logic is the same – determining the winner of the game. The difference is purely in how the platforms represent the outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves to the winning team: "Red Wings" or "Lightning". If the game is postponed, it remains open; if canceled, it resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either the Red Wings or the Lightning win. If the game is postponed, it remains open; if canceled, it resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Kalshi

A Yes resolution occurs when the specified team wins the game as originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026. If postponed but beginning within 48 hours, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. Cancellation or failure to start within 48 hours leads to all markets resolving at a fair price.

Predict

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the Red Wings-Lightning game. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. Generally, higher volume in this market suggests greater confidence in the crowd’s assessment compared to initial sportsbook offerings.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for the Red Wings-Lightning game may differ between Polymarket and Predict due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different set of traders with potentially varying expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. If one platform has significantly more volume, its price is likely to be more stable and representative of broader market sentiment. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across different prediction market venues.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Red Wings-Lightning game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, determining whether the total number of goals scored exceeds 4.5. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the accuracy of their predictions in this market. The result will be reported as either over or under 4.5 goals.

Several signals could significantly influence this market before Nov 4, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Red Wings or the Lightning would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in goaltender assignments or unexpected lineup changes could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or social media buzz, could lead to increased trading volume and price movement in this market. Game-day performance and early scoring opportunities will also be key factors.