TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:50 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 20 at 9:40PM ET: If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 20 at 9:40PM ET: If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals putting their capital at risk. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public sentiment or information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders profit from the price variations between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Red Wings-Kraken game. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. The current price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with buyers driving the price up and sellers driving it down.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Red Wings-Kraken game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected news regarding team performance could all shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome might also impact trading activity. Even broader factors like weather conditions or perceived team morale could play a role, as traders incorporate any available information into their predictions. Monitoring these signals can help understand potential price movements in this market.