TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
$
In the upcoming match between Red Bull Bragantino and Santos FC, scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Red Bull Bragantino" if Red Bull Bragantino are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Red Bull Bragantino and Santos FC, scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Red Bull Bragantino" if Red Bull Bragantino are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by real money trading, aggregates diverse opinions and can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially have a strong stance, the prediction market can adjust rapidly based on collective insight and betting behavior, potentially revealing different expectations for the match outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Red Bull or Santos will score first. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, offering a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the early lead in the match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Red Bull Bragantino or Santos FC, scores the first goal in the match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and shares will be redeemed based on whether the team a trader supported scored first. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Red Bull or Santos would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting playing style, could contribute to movement. Finally, any public statements from team managers or players regarding their strategy could also influence how traders position themselves in this market.