TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 12:37 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Red Bull Bragantino and Cruzeiro EC, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Red Bull Bragantino" if Red Bull Bragantino are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Cruzeiro EC" if Cruzeiro EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Red Bull Bragantino and Cruzeiro EC, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Red Bull Bragantino" if Red Bull Bragantino are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Cruzeiro EC" if Cruzeiro EC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of either Red Bull Bragantino or Cruzeiro EC scoring first, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, particularly when information isn’t widely available or is quickly incorporated by traders.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team—Red Bull Bragantino or Cruzeiro EC—scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players on either Red Bull Bragantino or Cruzeiro EC, or changes in coaching strategy could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-game analysis from reputable sports commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity from large traders on Polymarket could quickly move the market, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities as the match approaches.