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412,077

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4,526

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5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Leganés
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Leganés?

Volume:
$1,901,044

Valladolid

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 2:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Valladolid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$748,870
N/A
N/A
$322,288
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Valladolid CF

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$281,835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CD Leganés

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$327,842
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leganes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$221,064
N/A
N/A
$170,900
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203,275
N/A
N/A
$110,097
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Leganés)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a La Liga 2 soccer match between Real Valladolid CF and CD Leganés, specifically whether Real Valladolid CF will win on November 2, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Real Valladolid winning is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will be resolved based on the official results reported at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Keep an eye on the match itself on November 2, 2026, as the final score will determine the resolution of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellations by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: Consider the risk of game cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market's resolution may be uncertain in that event. Polymarket offers more clarity on this point.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolution is based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'. Official statistics are primary, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus.
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellations is provided; resolution depends on the game being completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 between Real Valladolid CF and CD Leganés.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Valladolid vs Leganes professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for November 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Valladolid market occurs if Valladolid wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Leganes resolves if Leganes secures the victory during the same period. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Real Valladolid vs. Leganés match. Currently, the consensus view, aggregating data from both platforms, suggests a roughly 54% chance of a specific outcome. Total volume across both venues is $1,901,044, with $1,898,424 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their beliefs about the match result and profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The dashboard provides a unified view of market sentiment, combining insights from multiple prediction markets into a single, easily digestible format.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals, potentially offering a more accurate forecast. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants, the influence of news and sentiment, and the incentive structure of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news related to player injuries or team dynamics.

Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with potentially varying levels of expertise regarding Spanish football, leading to differing opinions reflected in the prices. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform—currently $1,901,044 overall—can impact price discovery, with lower volume potentially leading to greater price volatility. These factors contribute to the observed discrepancies, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.