TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:57 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Real Valladolid CF and Albacete Balompié, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Valladolid CF" if Real Valladolid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Albacete Balompié" if Albacete Balompié are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Valladolid CF and Albacete Balompié, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Valladolid CF" if Real Valladolid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Albacete Balompié" if Albacete Balompié are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those on Polymarket, it could indicate disagreement about the true probability of a first goalscorer. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy, especially when a large volume of traders participate. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is driven entirely by supply and demand, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current volume demonstrates the level of interest in this particular matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Real Valladolid vs. Albacete match. If no goal is scored, the market will resolve as 'No Goal'. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses, as this will influence the final resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Real Valladolid or Albacete would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning streak or a string of losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially favoring one team's playing style over another. Any significant news related to the teams or the match itself has the potential to move this market considerably.