TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:15h:18m
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This event tracks the outcome of a professional La Liga soccer match between Real Sociedad and Vallecano. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Markets will reflect whether Real Sociedad wins, Vallecano wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Real Sociedad vs Vallecano professional La Liga soccer match originally scheduled for November 8, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for each respective market occurs if the associated team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the match ends in a tie for the Tie market. The resolution specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty kicks. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Real Sociedad vs Vallecano match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Real Sociedad vs Vallecano match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Real Sociedad vs Vallecano match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. It’s important to monitor news and official sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Sociedad or Vallecano would likely impact the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any news regarding tactical changes, weather conditions affecting the match, or even significant pre-game commentary from analysts could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the probabilities.