TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Real Sociedad vs Lyon
kalshi

What is the result of Real Sociedad vs Lyon?

Oct 21, 2026, 8:36 PM EST - Nov 5, 2026, 3:45 PM EST
Total volume:
$887
Volume 24h:
$81
32%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$545
4%

Real Sociedad

 - Kalshi

Real Sociedad - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:21h:14m

Real Sociedad wins

53%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 53¢ buys you 189 shares | Odds: 53% Total Payout: $189 | Net Profit: $89 Multiplier: 1.89x | ROI: 89% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Sociedad

Trade
53%
Yes 53¢No 48¢
1¢
N/A
$536
9%
57%
$229
2d 21h 14m
Active
kalshi

Lyon

24%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
1¢
N/A
$340
12%
387%
$305
2d 21h 14m
Active
kalshi

Tie

23%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
1¢
N/A
$11
0%
128%
$11
2d 21h 14m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming Europa League soccer match between Real Sociedad and Lyon. The focus is on determining whether either team secures a victory within the standard 90-minute regulation time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The result will reflect the immediate post-match standings without considering subsequent tie-breaking procedures.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Real Sociedad vs Lyon Europa League match scheduled for November 5, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a Real Sociedad win, a Lyon win, or a tie. If either team wins within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout results, focusing exclusively on the standing at the end of regulation play.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Real Sociedad vs Lyon match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market, which currently stands at $887. The 24-hour volume is $76, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likely result of the match and allows you to observe shifts in sentiment.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks frequently set initial lines to attract action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Real Sociedad vs Lyon match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time probability forecast. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, indicates the volume of buy and sell orders at various price levels, offering insight into potential price movements.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Real Sociedad vs Lyon match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final contract prices on Kalshi at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 5, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching decisions could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media discussions, could drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential market movements.