TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:33 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the La Liga match between Real Sociedad (RSO) and Levante (LEV), scheduled for 2026-10-25 17:30 UTC. - RSO: If Real Sociedad wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - LEV: If Levante wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both RSO and LEV options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/
This market refers to the La Liga match between Real Sociedad (RSO) and Levante (LEV), scheduled for 2026-10-25 17:30 UTC. - RSO: If Real Sociedad wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - LEV: If Levante wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both RSO and LEV options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set initial lines to attract action, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks that impact the perceived probabilities. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the potential result of the Real Sociedad vs Levante match.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. Currently, the most favored outcome, according to traders on Opinion, is Real Sociedad winning, though the implied probability is subject to change based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Real Sociedad vs Levante match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be paid out according to their holdings in the winning outcome contracts. It’s important to monitor news and official sources leading up to this date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Sociedad or Levante would likely impact the odds. Any news regarding team formations, tactical changes, or managerial decisions could also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Finally, any significant news related to the overall performance or morale of either team, even outside of the immediate match context, could influence trading activity and the price of contracts in this market.