TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
These markets assess the margin of victory for either Real Sociedad or Deportivo De La Coruna, focusing exclusively on the difference in goals scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalties.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Real Sociedad vs Deportivo De La Coruna professional La Liga soccer game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, considering only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and excluding extra time or penalty shootout goals. Two sets of markets exist: one for Real Sociedad winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and another for Deportivo De La Coruna winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team meets the exact margin requirement; otherwise, it resolves to No. The outcomes are determined independently for each market.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. If you find a significant difference, it could indicate an opportunity for value, but it's important to consider the volume traded in this market as well.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time prediction of the event’s outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Real Sociedad vs Deportivo match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. It’s important to note that the official result, as reported by recognized sports data providers, is the basis for settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Real Sociedad or Deportivo could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news or announcements related to either club, or even broader football events, could all contribute to movement in this market.