TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:12h:17m
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This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and provides an option for 'Neither' if no goal is scored within that timeframe. Postponement or cancellation rules are also defined.
In the upcoming match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid" if Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting with their own money. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. While a direct comparison requires examining current sportsbook lines, prediction markets can sometimes identify mispriced outcomes, offering value to informed traders. The current volume of this market is $0.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by identifying which team – Real Sociedad or Rayo Vallecano – scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Trading will cease prior to this date, and the market will settle to reflect the actual result of the event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Real Sociedad or Rayo Vallecano would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions on match day could impact the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first. Public sentiment, driven by social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions in this market.