TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:12h:28m
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This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Real Sociedad and Olympique Lyonnais. The market also includes an option for 'Neither' team scoring in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolution is based on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.
In the upcoming match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Olympique Lyonnais, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olympique Lyonnais" if Olympique Lyonnais are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Olympique Lyonnais, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olympique Lyonnais" if Olympique Lyonnais are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert opinions, prediction markets can dynamically adjust as new information emerges and more traders participate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information aggregation and the incentive structures of each venue.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team scores the first goal in the Real Sociedad vs. Lyon match. Any goals scored during regular play, extra time, or penalty shootouts will be considered. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market before it resolves. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Real Sociedad or Lyon would undoubtedly impact trader sentiment. Major tactical announcements from either manager, such as a confirmed starting lineup or a change in formation, could also influence prices. Even weather conditions on Nov 5, 2026 could play a role, potentially favoring a team with a style of play better suited to those conditions. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of scoring first has the potential to move this market.