TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD?

Volume:
$1,906,424

Real Sociedad

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 3:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Sociedad

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$909,188
N/A
N/A
$473,410
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$264,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

RSO

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$24,136
$115,234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Levante

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$275,507
N/A
N/A
$197,174
Settled
No
polymarket

Levante UD

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

LEV

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$204
$14,890
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232,063
N/A
N/A
$155,260
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD)

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,398
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$207
$18,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Real Sociedad de Fútbol will win their La Liga soccer match against Levante UD on October 25, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of Real Sociedad winning is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official result reported by https://www.laliga.com/. Keep an eye on the match outcome itself on October 25, 2026, to see if Real Sociedad secures the win as currently predicted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Resolution criteria for a canceled game are inconsistent across platforms, specifically regarding Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation handling.Hero tip: Focus on markets with clear cancellation rules (Polymarket/Predict) to avoid ambiguity. Kalshi's markets may require closer monitoring for potential disputes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, Flashscore, or Sofascore as fallback sources. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split/Draw.
  • Kalshi: Defines resolution based on win/tie/loss after 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling, which could lead to ambiguity. Relies on official statistics.
  • Predict: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, Flashscore, or Sofascore as fallback sources. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split/Draw.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Levante UD.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Real Sociedad vs Levante professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Real Sociedad or Levante occurs only if that specific team wins in regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. No outcomes—including extra time or penalty shootouts—affect the resolution.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Levante UD.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Real Sociedad vs. Levante match, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This can differ from sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management more heavily, while prediction markets tend to focus on the underlying probability of an event occurring. However, both aim to accurately forecast the outcome, and arbitrage opportunities can arise when discrepancies exist between this market and traditional sportsbooks.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Real Sociedad vs. Levante match can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific market design on each platform—such as the available outcomes or the contract specifications—can lead to differing perceptions of value. Market sentiment and information flow can also vary between the two venues, contributing to price discrepancies. These differences are a natural part of a decentralized prediction market ecosystem.