TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Real Sociedad de Fútbol will win their La Liga soccer match against Levante UD on October 25, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of Real Sociedad winning is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official result reported by https://www.laliga.com/. Keep an eye on the match outcome itself on October 25, 2026, to see if Real Sociedad secures the win as currently predicted.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Levante UD.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Real Sociedad vs Levante professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Real Sociedad or Levante occurs only if that specific team wins in regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. No outcomes—including extra time or penalty shootouts—affect the resolution.
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Levante UD.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Real Sociedad vs. Levante match can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific market design on each platform—such as the available outcomes or the contract specifications—can lead to differing perceptions of value. Market sentiment and information flow can also vary between the two venues, contributing to price discrepancies. These differences are a natural part of a decentralized prediction market ecosystem.