TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:11 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol B and UD Almería, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol B" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol B are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "UD Almería" if UD Almería are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol B and UD Almería, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol B" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol B are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "UD Almería" if UD Almería are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from participants. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, the prediction market might show a more nuanced view, especially if there's disagreement among traders. It's common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets allow for more dynamic price adjustments based on real-time information and evolving sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders bet on Real Sociedad to score first, the price of those shares increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is entirely driven by trader activity, and there are no external factors influencing the odds beyond the information available to participants.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team—Real Sociedad or UD Almería—scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be assessed based on publicly available and widely accepted match data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Sociedad or UD Almería would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, might impact the odds. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could sway the market's direction.