TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Málaga CF
Volume:
$337,306
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the La Liga 2 (second division) match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol B and Málaga CF scheduled for February 16, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the final outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time: whether Real Sociedad B wins, Málaga wins, or the match ends in a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms align on the core resolution event (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and the three mutually exclusive outcomes. A minor divergence exists in cancellation handling: Polymarket treats cancellation as No for win markets and Yes for draw; Kalshi treats all cancellations as Yes. This is a procedural difference, not a logical contradiction, and reflects each platform's risk model rather than a fundamental disagreement on match outcome.
Primary resolution logic:
Official La Liga 2 / LaLiga.com match records and final scoreCore resolution logic:
- Resolution scope is the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Real Sociedad B win, Málaga CF win, or draw
- Match must be completed; if postponed, markets remain open until the game is played
- If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, cancellation protocols apply (see edge cases)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a new date. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
- Match Cancellation (No Make-up): Polymarket: Win markets (Real Sociedad B win, Málaga win) resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes. Kalshi: All outcome markets resolve to Yes. This reflects each platform's default treatment of canceled events.
- Scope Clarification: Resolution is based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. If the match goes to extra time or penalties (e.g., in a cup competition), those periods are not counted for resolution purposes.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes and the official final score is published by La Liga 2 / LaLiga.com, typically within 1-2 hours of full-time whistle. If postponed, resolution is delayed until the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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