TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol B and Granada CF, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol B" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol B are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Granada CF" if Granada CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol B and Granada CF, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol B" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol B are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Granada CF" if Granada CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Real Sociedad or Granada will score first. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Real Sociedad or Granada, scores the first goal in the match. If no goal is scored by either team, the market will resolve as 'no goal scored'. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the first goalscorer, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Real Sociedad or Granada would likely cause shifts in the odds. Team form, recent match results, and tactical changes announced by the managers could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could trigger movement. Finally, significant trading volume itself can create momentum, driving prices up or down as traders react to each other's actions.