TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol B and Girona FC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol B" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol B are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Girona FC" if Girona FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Sociedad de Fútbol B and Girona FC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol B" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol B are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Girona FC" if Girona FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective insights of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the prediction market price will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of either Real Sociedad or Girona scoring first. The market’s efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Real Sociedad vs Girona match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Sociedad or Girona would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected line-up announcements or pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also shift the probabilities. Overall, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.