TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City SC. The market resolves based on the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with a 'Neither' option if no goal is scored in that timeframe.
In the upcoming match between Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City SC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Louis City SC" if St. Louis City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Salt Lake and St. Louis City SC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Louis City SC" if St. Louis City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by genuine user belief. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the crowd's collective intelligence often outperforms individual oddsmakers. However, sportsbook odds are easily accessible and heavily marketed, influencing public perception. The efficiency of this market will be determined by how closely it tracks the true probability of the event outcome, as assessed by informed bettors.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with low volume on one platform may be more susceptible to price swings. Additionally, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket favors neither team to score first at 96 percent, while Predict leans toward St. Louis City SC to score first. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each platform’s trading community.