TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:30 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, Real Salt Lake or San Jose Earthquakes, will score more goals in the second half of a Major League Soccer (MLS) match, or if the two teams will draw. Resolution is based on official match statistics, with fallback sources if official data is unavailable.
In the upcoming MLS game between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake score more goals than San Jose Earthquakes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes score more goals than Real Salt Lake in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake score more goals than San Jose Earthquakes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes score more goals than Real Salt Lake in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are formed. Sportsbooks set lines based on their internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when incorporating information not readily captured by sportsbook algorithms. The collective intelligence displayed in this market can sometimes provide a more nuanced forecast than conventional betting options.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and risk appetite. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a distinct pool of traders with potentially differing analyses of the Real Salt Lake match. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – $198 overall – can influence price discovery. Different fee structures or platform-specific rules could also contribute to these discrepancies. These factors combine to create potentially varied probabilities for the same event outcome across the two venues.