TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It's always wise to compare both to make informed decisions, but remember this market represents a unique, decentralized forecast.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular team to score first, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, leading to dynamic price adjustments. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the early lead.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first goal in the Real Salt Lake versus San Jose Earthquakes match. The result will be based on official game statistics and records, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution. Any potential disputes will be handled according to Predict’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Real Salt Lake or San Jose Earthquakes would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived advantage of either team. Additionally, any pre-game analysis from reputable sports commentators or analysts offering strong opinions could sway trader sentiment and move the odds. Finally, significant betting activity on sportsbooks could also create movement in this market.