TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 12:17 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Salt Lake" if Real Salt Lake are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "San Jose Earthquakes" if San Jose Earthquakes are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, though discrepancies can occur due to differing risk appetites and information access.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Real Salt Lake or San Jose Earthquakes will score first. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders acting as both market makers and informed speculators.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Real Salt Lake versus San Jose Earthquakes match. The result will be determined by official match data, and the market will settle to 100% for the winning outcome. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Real Salt Lake or San Jose Earthquakes would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also impact trading. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a strong performance from one team might sway market sentiment and lead to increased trading volume. Major news events impacting team morale could also be a catalyst.