TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:15 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Real Racing Club and Real Madrid CF, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Racing Club" if Real Racing Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Racing Club and Real Madrid CF, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Racing Club" if Real Racing Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Predict, tends to more closely reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, particularly when a significant amount of volume is traded.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. As more traders believe Real Racing Club will score first, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, providing a dynamic and real-time estimation of the likelihood of each team taking the lead. The more volume traded, the more confidence can be placed in the indicated probabilities.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team scores the first goal in the Real Racing Club versus Real Madrid CF match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the first scoring team will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Racing Club or Real Madrid CF would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups shortly before the match are also strong catalysts. A large volume of trades in either direction, driven by new information or a shift in public opinion, will also cause the odds to change. Monitoring sports news and social media will be key to understanding potential market movements.