TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:28 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the La Liga 2 game, scheduled for October 12 at 12:30 PM ET.
More markets for the La Liga 2 game, scheduled for October 12 at 12:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. Therefore, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes as event time approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those participating in this event.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Real Oviedo vs. Eibar match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score and winner will be used to determine which outcome in this market is considered correct. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket from informed participants could quickly shift the probabilities reflected in this market.