TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Madrid vs. Virtus Bologna
Volume:
$92,567
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between Real Madrid and Virtus Bologna scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM EST. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are predicting the winner of this single matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Real Madrid win and Virtus Bologna win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a single-game binary outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. Before trading, request official clarification on whether Kalshi intends this as a Yes/No market (game occurs and has a winner = Yes) or if the second condition is a documentation error. Polymarket's logic is sound and unambiguous.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary logic: Real Madrid win = Real Madrid resolution, Virtus Bologna win = Virtus Bologna resolution. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to Real Madrid. If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to Virtus Bologna.
- Kalshi: Contradictory dual-Yes logic: states both If Real Madrid wins then Yes AND If Virtus Bologna wins then Yes, creating an impossible resolution state. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation. Quote: If Real Madrid wins...resolves to Yes. If Virtus Bologna wins...resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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