TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Real Madrid vs Villarreal: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Real Madrid vs Villarreal?

Volume:
$802,999

Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 5:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$630,226
N/A
N/A
$323,909
Settled
No
kalshi

Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$127,327
N/A
N/A
$72,211
Settled
No
kalshi

Villarreal wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,859
N/A
N/A
$20,532
Settled
No
kalshi

Real Madrid wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,623
N/A
N/A
$10,422
Settled
No
kalshi

Villarreal wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,964
N/A
N/A
$4,596
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Real Madrid and Villarreal, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different winning margins in the Real Madrid versus Villarreal La Liga match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Real Madrid winning by more than 2.5 goals, Real Madrid winning by more than 1.5 goals, Villarreal winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Villarreal winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty outcomes. The event explicitly states that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Real Madrid vs Villarreal match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes in this market. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the price has fluctuated over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $795,884. The total volume traded on this market is $802,999. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how actively traders are participating in predicting the result of the match.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are often set by analysts, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise when forming your own opinion on the likely outcome of the Real Madrid vs Villarreal match, but remember they represent different approaches to forecasting.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out if a specific outcome occurs. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the collective belief about the likelihood of each possible result in the Real Madrid vs Villarreal match.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Real Madrid vs Villarreal match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted source for sports scores and statistics, ensuring a fair and transparent process for all participants in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Real Madrid or Villarreal would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to new information and potentially identify opportunities.