TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:07 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the La Liga match between Real Madrid (REA) and Villarreal (VIL), scheduled for 2026-10-10 19:00 UTC. - REA: If Real Madrid wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - VIL: If Villarreal wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both REA and VIL options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/
This market refers to the La Liga match between Real Madrid (REA) and Villarreal (VIL), scheduled for 2026-10-10 19:00 UTC. - REA: If Real Madrid wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - VIL: If Villarreal wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both REA and VIL options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially early on, before the prediction market fully matures.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Real Madrid vs Villarreal match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score and any relevant match details will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Madrid or Villarreal would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also shift the market, as traders react to new information and reassess the likely outcome of the Real Madrid vs Villarreal match.