TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Real Madrid vs. Partizan
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Real Madrid vs. Partizan?

Volume:
$288,249

Real Madrid

 - Kalshi

Real Madrid - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Madrid

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$98,140
N/A
N/A
$76,457
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Madrid vs. Partizan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KK Partizan Belgrade

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121,645
N/A
N/A
$103,439
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Euroleague basketball game between Real Madrid and Partizan, predicting which team will win. Currently, the consensus probability of Real Madrid vs. Partizan winning is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official result reported by https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/. The resolution rules specify that markets will resolve based on the game scheduled for October 8th, so keep an eye on any announcements regarding the game’s status as that date approaches.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market references a game date in 2026, while Polymarket references the current game date of October 8th. This creates a significant discrepancy in the event being predicted.Hero tip: Focus on the Polymarket market as it reflects the actual game date. Monitor for potential postponement or cancellation scenarios as outlined in the Polymarket rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for October 8th at 2:45PM ET. A win for Real Madrid or Partizan determines the resolution.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT. A win for either team determines the resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 8 at 2:45PM ET: If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If the Partizan win, the market will resolve to "Partizan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If Real Madrid wins the KK Partizan Belgrade vs Real Madrid men's professional EuroLeague basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If KK Partizan Belgrade wins the KK Partizan Belgrade vs Real Madrid men's professional EuroLeague basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Real Madrid vs. Partizan match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $288,249, with $274,983 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on each platform. Polymarket currently favors a specific outcome, while Kalshi presents a different perspective, creating a dynamic and informative view of the event’s potential results. This market provides a unique way to follow sentiment around the match.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on all sides. Prediction markets, however, allow participants to freely trade and express their beliefs, leading to odds that can be more accurate, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may incorporate public sentiment, this market directly *is* public sentiment, aggregated through trading volume. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information and analytical approaches.