TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Real Madrid vs. Manresa
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Real Madrid vs Manresa?

Volume:
$16,469

Real Madrid

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 7:56 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Madrid

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,346
N/A
N/A
$5,078
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Madrid (-15.5)

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 180.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Madrid vs. Manresa

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Basquet Manresa

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,444
N/A
N/A
$2,230
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This group covers the Liga Endesa basketball game between Real Madrid and Manresa on October 11th. Markets exist for the outright winner, the point spread, and the over/under total points scored. Resolution depends on the official final score published on acb.com.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines 'Yes' for either team winning, creating a redundant market and lacking the specificity of Polymarket's markets.Hero tip: Prioritize trading on Polymarket due to its more detailed market definitions and comprehensive resolution rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets for outright winner, spread, and over/under, resolving based on the official final score from acb.com. Includes rules for postponements and cancellations (50/50 split).
  • Kalshi: Simply resolves to 'Yes' if either Real Madrid or Manresa wins. Lacks specific rules for spread or over/under, and doesn't detail handling of postponements/cancellations.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for October 11 at 6:00AM ET: If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If the Manresa win, the market will resolve to "Manresa". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game between Basquet Manresa and Real Madrid, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, at 6:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Real Madrid vs. Manresa match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $16,469, with $14,453 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see where the crowd believes the most likely result lies. The dashboard displays probabilities implied by the trading activity, giving a real-time assessment of expectations for this contest. It's a dynamic reflection of informed speculation, combining insights from multiple prediction markets.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information or underappreciated factors. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets often become more accurate as the event approaches, particularly when significant volume is traded.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could shift expectations. Performance in preceding matches, particularly for key players, will also influence trading activity. Furthermore, broader news related to team morale or potential controversies could affect the perceived probabilities. A significant shift in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media trends, could also drive price movement in this market on Polymarket and Kalshi.