TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional basketball match between two teams. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the contest. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will be handled according to specific guidelines to ensure fair resolution.
The event determines the winner of the men’s professional EuroLeague basketball game between Real Madrid and Maccabi Tel-Aviv, scheduled for October 22, 2026, at 2:05 PM EDT. If Real Madrid wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Maccabi Tel-Aviv wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader predictions, and therefore can sometimes offer more favorable odds, especially if there's disagreement between the crowd and the sportsbook. It's common to see discrepancies, as sportsbooks may be influenced by public betting patterns or expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of informed traders. Comparing the two can be a useful strategy for identifying potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Maccabi Tel-Aviv has a high chance of winning, they will buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up the price. Conversely, selling pressure will lower the price.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Real Madrid vs Maccabi Tel-Aviv match. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Real Madrid or Maccabi Tel-Aviv might also impact perceptions of their relative strength. General news about team performance or even weather conditions could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in sports news or social media, can also contribute to price movements in this market.