TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Real Madrid vs. Burgos
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Real Madrid vs. Burgos?

Volume:
$69,479

Real Madrid vs. Burgos

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 10:16 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Real Madrid vs. Burgos

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 14h 10m
Yes
kalshi

CB San Pablo Burgos

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,166
N/A
N/A
$4,762
Settled
No
kalshi

Real Madrid

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,638
N/A
N/A
$4,600
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Madrid (-15.5)

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 185.5

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This group covers the Liga Endesa basketball game between Real Madrid and Burgos on November 1st. Markets exist on the outright winner, the point spread, and the total points scored in the game. Resolution depends on the official final score published on acb.com.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines resolution as 'Yes' if either team wins, while Polymarket distinguishes between the winning team (Real Madrid or Burgos) or a 50-50 split for cancellation.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket's markets for clearer outcome definitions. Kalshi's 'Yes' outcome is ambiguous.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolution is determined by which team wins or a 50-50 split if the game is canceled. The spread market resolves to Real Madrid if they win by 16+ points, otherwise Burgos. Over/Under resolves based on total points scored.
  • Kalshi: Resolution is simply 'Yes' if either team wins the game. No differentiation between winners or point spreads. This makes the market less specific and potentially harder to interpret.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for November 1 at 6:30AM ET: If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If the Burgos win, the market will resolve to "Burgos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the CB San Pablo Burgos vs Real Madrid men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game scheduled for November 1, 2026, at 6:30 AM EST. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result of the game when played. If the game is cancelled or does not begin within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are separate for each team, with each resolving to Yes if that specific team wins the game. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Real Madrid vs. Burgos match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $69,479, with $69,060 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in predicting the result of this contest. The dashboard provides a consensus view, reflecting the combined predictions of traders on both venues, offering a comprehensive look at expectations for the match. It’s a valuable tool for understanding market sentiment and potential outcomes.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly betting on the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate new information or differing opinions. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of events, and comparing them can provide a more nuanced understanding of the likely result of the Real Madrid vs. Burgos match.