TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Villarreal CF" if Villarreal CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Villarreal CF" if Villarreal CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, driven by informed traders, can sometimes reflect a more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially as new information emerges. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing opinions and risk assessments between prediction market participants and sportsbook oddsmakers.
On Predict, this market is priced through a dynamic order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the collective belief of the traders on Predict. As more traders participate and place bets, the odds will adjust to reflect the changing sentiment. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe Real Madrid will score first, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team scores the first goal in the Real Madrid vs Villarreal match. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Any disputes will be handled according to the platform’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Madrid or Villarreal would likely cause significant movement. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also shift the odds. Even general football news, such as recent team performance or changes in coaching staff, could impact trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts in this market.