TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
In the upcoming match between Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Villarreal CF" if Villarreal CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Villarreal CF" if Villarreal CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a team’s chances, the price on Polymarket will move accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Real Madrid or Villarreal will score first. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts to reflect the collective probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability; a share priced at 60 means there's a 60% chance of that team scoring first, according to the traders on Polymarket. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Real Madrid vs Villarreal match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Traders should ensure their positions are aligned with their expectations of the match result before this date, as the market will close and settle shortly thereafter.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Madrid or Villarreal would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to team lineups or managerial decisions could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any major upsets in other matches involving these teams could indirectly affect confidence and trading activity on Polymarket.