TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:17 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming La Liga game between Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming La Liga game between Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s probabilities are determined by the collective predictions of individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome. Comparing these odds can provide valuable insights into where the market perceives value and potential mispricings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different first-half exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market's current belief about the probability of that score occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market is highly liquid, allowing traders to quickly enter and exit positions based on their analysis and evolving information.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the Real Madrid vs Villarreal match will be used to determine the winning share. The resolution will be based on official data sources and will reflect the exact score at the end of the first 45 minutes of play, plus any added time. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Madrid or Villarreal would likely cause significant price movement. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches could also shift the probabilities. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators and any late-breaking news related to team morale or weather conditions could all impact trading activity and the perceived likelihood of different first-half exact scores.