TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF?

Volume:
$3,303,469

Real Madrid CF

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 6:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Real Madrid CF

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,883,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

REA

99%
27%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$61,435
$689,409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

1%
15%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$7,688
$75,116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF)

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$257,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

VIL

1%
12%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$4,495
$44,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Villarreal CF

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$353,456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Real Madrid CF versus Villarreal CF La Liga match on October 10, 2026, asking whether Real Madrid will win. Currently, the aggregated probability of Real Madrid winning is 99.0%, with a 1.0% probability of a draw, as determined by a consensus across Predict and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (La Liga). Keep an eye on the match itself on October 10, 2026, to see if Real Madrid secures a win as strongly predicted by the market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match statistics and a defined fallback hierarchy for data sourcing.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (La Liga).

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, 'Win' markets resolve to 'No' and 'Draw' markets resolve to 'Yes'.
  • A tiered source hierarchy (Official -> Flashscore -> Sofascore -> Consensus) is used if official data is unavailable within 24 hours.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion using the defined data hierarchy.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Real Madrid vs. Villarreal match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $3,303,469, with $3,207,500 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in predicting the result of this high-profile soccer fixture. The dashboard aggregates probabilities from both venues, providing a comprehensive overview of market sentiment. Traders on these platforms are expressing their beliefs about which team will win, and the dashboard visualizes these predictions in real-time.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the collective predictions of many individuals. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert forecasts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing sentiment than sportsbooks, offering a dynamic pricing mechanism. Examining both sources provides a more well-rounded view.