TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Real Madrid CF and Sevilla FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sevilla FC" if Sevilla FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Madrid CF and Sevilla FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sevilla FC" if Sevilla FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s probabilities are driven by traders directly buying and selling shares. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by exploiting the difference. However, it's important to note that prediction market odds are constantly fluctuating based on new information and trader sentiment, while sportsbook odds are adjusted less frequently.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Real Madrid or Sevilla FC, scores the first goal in the match. Official match records and sources will be used to determine the definitive first goalscorer. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Madrid or Sevilla FC would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements shortly before the match, or even pre-match analysis from reputable football experts, could all contribute to movement in this market as traders react to new information.