TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Real Madrid CF and Sevilla FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Sevilla FC" if Sevilla FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Real Madrid CF and Sevilla FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Sevilla FC" if Sevilla FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis that may not be immediately priced into traditional sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, risk aversion, or simply variations in opinion among market participants and sportsbook operators. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to reflect new information.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, scores the first goal during the first half of the Real Madrid vs. Sevilla match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on the official result of the first half.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Real Madrid or Sevilla would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from key analysts could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal a shift in sentiment and move the market, especially as we get closer to Oct 18, 2026.