TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF
Volume:
$10,292,834
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the La Liga match between Real Madrid CF and Getafe CF scheduled for March 2, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: Real Madrid win, Getafe win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's cancellation clause for the draw market contradicts its win markets, and Kalshi omits cancellation guidance entirely. This creates settlement ambiguity if the March 2, 2026 match is canceled without a make-up.Hero Tip:
Verify match completion status before settlement. If canceled, request explicit platform guidance on which resolution rule applies. For Polymarket, escalate the draw YES vs. win NO contradiction. For Kalshi, confirm whether cancellation leaves markets open or triggers a default resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with inconsistent cancellation logic. Real Madrid win market: cancellation resolves NO. Getafe win market: cancellation resolves NO. Draw market: cancellation resolves YES. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [YES for draw / NO for wins].' This creates a logical impossibility where a single canceled event cannot satisfy all three market conditions simultaneously.
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Tie, Real Madrid win, Getafe win) with no explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Markets reference only the three possible match outcomes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Real Madrid vs Getafe professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' No guidance on what happens if the game does not occur.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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