TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.5b

24H VOL:

$202,688,956

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,692,829,820

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,734,437,429

480,371

Markets across

36,315

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,915

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF
polymarket
kalshi

Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF

Volume:
$10,292,834

Getafe

 - Kalshi

Getafe - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 3, 2026

Closed: Mar 2, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Getafe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$809,175
N/A
N/A
$458,750
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Getafe CF

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$800,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Madrid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,039,918
N/A
N/A
$3,280,972
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Madrid CF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,822,695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$448,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$372,714
N/A
N/A
$307,808
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the La Liga match between Real Madrid CF and Getafe CF scheduled for March 2, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: Real Madrid win, Getafe win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's cancellation clause for the draw market contradicts its win markets, and Kalshi omits cancellation guidance entirely. This creates settlement ambiguity if the March 2, 2026 match is canceled without a make-up.Hero tip: Verify match completion status before settlement. If canceled, request explicit platform guidance on which resolution rule applies. For Polymarket, escalate the draw YES vs. win NO contradiction. For Kalshi, confirm whether cancellation leaves markets open or triggers a default resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with inconsistent cancellation logic. Real Madrid win market: cancellation resolves NO. Getafe win market: cancellation resolves NO. Draw market: cancellation resolves YES. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [YES for draw / NO for wins].' This creates a logical impossibility where a single canceled event cannot satisfy all three market conditions simultaneously.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Tie, Real Madrid win, Getafe win) with no explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Markets reference only the three possible match outcomes after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Real Madrid vs Getafe professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' No guidance on what happens if the game does not occur.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.