TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF - More Markets
Volume:
$1,262,449
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers multiple betting markets on the La Liga match between Real Madrid CF and Elche CF scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets include over/under totals (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 goals), spread bets for both teams at various thresholds (-1.5, -2.5), and a both-teams-to-score market, all resolving on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses explicit binary outcome assignment for spread markets (Team A or Team B), while Kalshi lists four separate Yes/No conditions without clear mutual exclusivity or outcome mapping. This creates ambiguity in how Kalshi markets resolve when multiple conditions could theoretically apply.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are more transparent for traders due to explicit outcome labels. For Kalshi, treat each of the four conditions as potentially independent Yes/No markets and verify with the platform whether they are mutually exclusive or if multiple can resolve Yes. Confirm the official resolution source (laliga.com) is used identically by both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Spread markets use explicit binary outcomes with clear thresholds. Real Madrid -1.5 resolves to Real Madrid if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Elche. Over/Under markets resolve Over if combined goals meet or exceed the stated threshold (e.g., O/U 3.5 resolves Over if 4+ goals scored). All markets reference laliga.com as primary source and resolve on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Four separate Yes/No conditions listed: (1) Real Madrid wins by 2.5+, (2) Elche wins by 1.5+, (3) Elche wins by 2.5+, (4) Real Madrid wins by 1.5+. No explicit outcome labels or mutual exclusivity stated. Conditions reference the same match and time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time) but lack clarity on whether all four are independent markets or part of a single cascading resolution logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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