TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns a soccer match between Real Betis and Osasuna, focusing on the total number of goals scored. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific thresholds after the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Real Betis vs Osasuna La Liga match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a different threshold for resolution: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the total goals exceed the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective predictions of traders, tends to be more efficient and can sometimes offer more favorable odds, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, providing a common benchmark for comparison, and may initially differ from the prices seen on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Real Betis vs Osasuna match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The goal is for the market price to accurately represent the likelihood of each outcome before the match takes place.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Real Betis vs Osasuna match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any resulting payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Betis or Osasuna would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected goal total. Furthermore, team form, recent results, and tactical changes announced by the managers could all contribute to shifts in market prices as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.