TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 1, 4:00 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market focuses on the second half result of a Club Friendlies match between Real Betis Seville and AD Ceuta. Users are predicting which team will score more goals in the second half, or if the result will be a draw. The markets specifically exclude first-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming Club Friendlies game between Real Betis Seville and AD Ceuta, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Betis Seville" if Real Betis Seville score more goals than AD Ceuta in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Real Betis Seville and AD Ceuta score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Ceuta" if AD Ceuta score more goals than Real Betis Seville in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Club Friendlies game between Real Betis Seville and AD Ceuta, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Real Betis Seville" if Real Betis Seville score more goals than AD Ceuta in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Real Betis Seville and AD Ceuta score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Ceuta" if AD Ceuta score more goals than Real Betis Seville in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief, leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. This market, focusing on the Real Betis vs. Ceuta second half, may show differences in implied probability compared to sportsbooks due to varying information access and analytical approaches. These differences can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading volumes, and market-specific incentives. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to variations in how information is interpreted and reflected in the odds. Furthermore, the liquidity of this market—the volume of trading—can be different on each platform, impacting price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors a draw in the second half at 98%, while Predict leans toward Real Betis Seville to win the second half at an unspecified percentage. These discrepancies are normal and highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Real Betis or Ceuta would likely cause significant price movement. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or even in-game events like red cards or penalties, could also shift the probabilities. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis, could all contribute to volatility in this market. Monitoring team news and live game updates is crucial for understanding potential shifts.