TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns a Club Friendlies match between Real Betis Seville and AD Ceuta scheduled for October 1, 2026. Markets exist on Polymarket and Predict asking whether Real Betis Seville or AD Ceuta will win, or if the match will end in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Club Friendlies game, scheduled for Thursday, October 1, 2026 between Real Betis Seville and AD Ceuta.
This event is for the upcoming Club Friendlies game, scheduled for Thursday, October 1, 2026 between Real Betis Seville and AD Ceuta.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are created. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient and potentially more accurate odds, especially as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially have different probabilities, they often adjust closer to prediction market prices as the event approaches, reflecting the crowd's assessment.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading volume, and risk tolerance, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, different platforms may have varying liquidity, leading to price discrepancies even when the underlying information is the same. The specific incentives offered by each platform can also play a role, as can the timing of when traders are most active. These differences contribute to a fascinating dynamic where the markets offer slightly different perspectives on the same event.